Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.022030 0.023862 0.025775 0.027922 0.030266 0.032749 0.035580
2025-08-24 0.018551 0.021124 0.023959 0.027320 0.031203 0.035556 0.040819
2025-08-31 0.016425 0.019405 0.022821 0.027039 0.032125 0.038078 0.045603
2025-09-07 0.014891 0.018121 0.021945 0.026828 0.032922 0.040313 0.050010
2025-09-14 0.013710 0.017111 0.021251 0.026688 0.033681 0.042429 0.054285
2025-09-21 0.012650 0.016141 0.020494 0.026357 0.034102 0.044059 0.057950
2025-09-28 0.011928 0.015531 0.020125 0.026457 0.035030 0.046337 0.062544
2025-10-05 0.011221 0.014882 0.019644 0.026349 0.035635 0.048171 0.066598
2025-10-12 0.010677 0.014407 0.019351 0.026452 0.036500 0.050369 0.071249
2025-10-19 0.010186 0.013967 0.019069 0.026535 0.037314 0.052511 0.075912
2025-10-26 0.009691 0.013489 0.018699 0.026459 0.037875 0.054292 0.080122
2025-11-02 0.009286 0.013112 0.018444 0.026521 0.038620 0.056357 0.084849
2025-11-09 0.008745 0.012528 0.017886 0.026141 0.038739 0.057570 0.088472
2025-11-16 0.008222 0.011945 0.017300 0.025688 0.038724 0.058585 0.091865
2025-11-23 0.007800 0.011487 0.016871 0.025443 0.038999 0.060046 0.096047
2025-11-30 0.007427 0.011080 0.016494 0.025247 0.039330 0.061593 0.100445
2025-12-07 0.007099 0.010725 0.016173 0.025117 0.039745 0.063283 0.105170
2025-12-14 0.006752 0.010323 0.015758 0.024807 0.039842 0.064443 0.109042
2025-12-21 0.006524 0.010093 0.015600 0.024900 0.040600 0.066732 0.115014
2025-12-28 0.006268 0.009807 0.015335 0.024800 0.041019 0.068458 0.120081
2026-01-04 0.006071 0.009605 0.015195 0.024896 0.041773 0.070791 0.126389
2026-01-11 0.005882 0.009407 0.015050 0.024974 0.042492 0.073094 0.132778
2026-01-18 0.005675 0.009169 0.014827 0.024903 0.042939 0.074927 0.138390